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Tropical Storm OTTO


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162004
1500Z WED DEC 01 2004
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N  50.2W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 135 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE  60SE  60SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 150SE 150SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N  50.2W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N  50.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 30.8N  49.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  60SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 30.0N  49.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 29.2N  48.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 28.5N  47.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 27.0N  46.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 25.5N  45.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 24.0N  45.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.4N  50.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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