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Hurricane KARL


ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122004
1500Z TUE SEP 21 2004
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  48.0W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  944 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
50 KT.......125NE  50SE  50SW 125NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 125SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 275SE 175SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  48.0W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  47.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 23.0N  48.8W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
50 KT...125NE  50SE  50SW 125NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 125SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 25.5N  49.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...225NE 225SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 28.0N  48.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...225NE 225SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 30.9N  46.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...225NE 225SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 38.2N  44.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...275NE 275SE 150SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 45.0N  45.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 50.0N  42.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N  48.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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