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Hurricane KARL (Text)

ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122004
1500Z SAT SEP 18 2004
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  39.3W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  25SE  90SW  25NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE 100SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  39.3W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  38.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 16.1N  40.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  90SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE 100SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.1N  42.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.9N  44.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.0N  46.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.8N  48.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 27.0N  48.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 34.0N  45.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N  39.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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