| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Hurricane KARL (Text)

ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122004
0900Z SAT SEP 18 2004
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  38.6W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 65NE  65SE  65SW  65NW.
12 FT SEAS..110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  38.6W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  38.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.8N  40.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.8N  42.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.1N  44.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.7N  45.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  65SW  65NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 23.0N  46.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  65SW  75NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 26.5N  47.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 31.0N  45.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N  38.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
$$
NNNN