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Hurricane JEANNE (Text)

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HURRICANE JEANNE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112004
0300Z THU SEP 23 2004
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS EARLY THURSDAY. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JEANNE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N  69.3W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..540NE 420SE 420SW 600NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N  69.3W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.8N  69.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.6N  70.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 25.5N  71.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 25.5N  73.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 26.0N  75.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 27.5N  78.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 110SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 30.0N  80.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 34.0N  78.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.6N  69.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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