Tropical Storm JEANNE

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TROPICAL STORM JEANNE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112004
0900Z WED SEP 15 2004
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN COASTS OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC FROM CABRERA SOUTHWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD ALSO AFFECT THE REMAINDER OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  65.1W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  65.1W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  64.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.1N  66.5W...NEAR OR OVER PUERTO RICO
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.1N  68.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.0N  69.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.8N  71.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 22.5N  74.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 24.5N  76.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 27.0N  77.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N  65.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
FORECASTER KNABB/JARVINEN
 
 
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