| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

Hurricane FRANCES (Text)


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062004
0900Z MON AUG 30 2004
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LEEWARD
ISLANDS BY THEIR GOVERNMENTS...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST MAARTEN...
ANGUILLA...NEVIS...ST KITTS...ST EUSTATIUS AND SABA.  ST MARTIN AND
ST BARTHELEMY MAY ALSO BE THREATENED.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR SOME OF THESE ISLANDS LATER TODAY.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH AND NORTHERN
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS INCLUDING ST THOMAS...ST JOHN AND SURROUNDING
ISLANDS...ALSO FOR THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES.   A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MAY
BE REQUIRED FOR PUERTO RICO LATER TODAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  57.3W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  30SW  75NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  45SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  57.3W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  56.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 19.1N  59.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 19.6N  62.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 20.2N  64.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 21.0N  67.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 22.5N  71.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 24.5N  75.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 27.0N  77.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N  57.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
$$
NNNN

Standard version of this page

Alternate Formats
About Alternates - E-Mail Advisories - RSS Feeds

Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory - Past Advisories - About Advisories

Marine Forecasts
Latest Products - About Marine Products

Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery - US Weather Radar - Aircraft Recon - Local Data Archive - Forecast Verification - Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense

Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names Wind Scale - Prepare - Climatology - NHC Glossary - NHC Acronyms - Frequently Asked Questions - AOML Hurricane-Research Division

About Us
About NHC - Mission/Vision - Other NCEP Centers - NHC Staff - Visitor Information - NHC Library

Contact Us


NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 30-Aug-2004 08:42:22 UTC