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Hurricane FRANCES (Text)


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA
HURRICANE FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062004
0300Z SAT AUG 28 2004

...CORRECTED...ADD 12 FOOT SEAS. 
 
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES AND THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FRANCES OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  50.5W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 308 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
12FT SEAS...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. 
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  50.5W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  50.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.2N  51.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.3N  53.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 19.1N  54.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.8N  56.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  65SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 130SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 20.9N  60.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 22.1N  65.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 23.5N  70.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N  50.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
$$
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Page last modified: Saturday, 28-Aug-2004 02:52:17 UTC