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Hurricane DANIELLE (Text)

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HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042004
2100Z TUE AUG 17 2004
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N  40.5W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N  40.5W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  40.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 28.0N  41.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 30.0N  40.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 32.0N  39.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 33.5N  37.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 34.5N  36.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 38.0N  30.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 46.0N  20.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.8N  40.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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