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Hurricane CHARLEY (Text)

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HURRICANE CHARLEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032004
0900Z THU AUG 12 2004
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND
FOR THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO BONITA
BEACH. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA
MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING ALL OF
FLORIDA BAY.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF BONITA
BEACH TO TARPON SPRINGS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING PROVINCES OF
WESTERN CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...
MATANZAS...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.  THIS WATCH WILL PROBABLY BE
CHANGED TO A HURRICANE WARNING THIS MORNING.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  79.9W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  30SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE  50SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  79.9W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  79.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 20.3N  81.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 23.3N  82.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 26.3N  83.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 30.5N  82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 40.0N  76.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 46.5N  67.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N  79.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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