Tropical Storm BONNIE

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TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022004
0300Z THU AUG 12 2004
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA FROM DESTIN EASTWARD TO THE MOUTH
OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM WEST OF DESTIN WESTWARD TO THE
ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  88.4W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 45NE  60SE  25SW  25NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  88.4W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  88.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 28.9N  86.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 31.9N  83.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 36.5N  78.5W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 42.0N  73.5W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 53.5N  62.0W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  20NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL ZONE

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N  88.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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