Tropical Storm BONNIE

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TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022004
2100Z TUE AUG 10 2004
 
WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL AREAS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  90.5W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 25NE  40SE  40SW  25NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  90.5W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N  90.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 25.5N  90.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 26.8N  89.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.5N  87.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 31.0N  84.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 37.0N  76.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 53.5N  68.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N  90.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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