Tropical Depression TWO

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022004
0300Z WED AUG 04 2004
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ST LUCIA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE...MARTINIQUE
...DOMINICA...ST. MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND FOR PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF
THE LESSER ANTILLES ON WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  58.3W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  58.3W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  57.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.2N  61.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.3N  64.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 16.7N  67.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 18.3N  69.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.0N  71.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 27.0N  70.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 30.5N  70.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N  58.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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