Tropical Depression TWO

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022004
1500Z TUE AUG 03 2004
 
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED LATER
TODAY FOR SOME OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. INTERESTS IN THE LESSER
ANTILLES...VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  54.2W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  54.2W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  53.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.0N  57.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 15.0N  60.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 16.5N  64.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.0N  67.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.0N  69.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 25.5N  71.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 30.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N  54.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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