Hurricane ALEX

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HURRICANE ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012004
2100Z TUE AUG 03 2004
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...ALL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF CAPE
LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON
INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND.  THIS WARNING
WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED THIS EVENING.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF OREGON
INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE
ALBEMARLE SOUND.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N  74.6W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  75SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 200SE 150SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N  74.6W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.3N  75.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 36.8N  72.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 38.0N  68.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 39.4N  64.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 41.5N  59.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 150SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 46.0N  44.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 300SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 44.0N  24.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 47.0N  12.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.8N  74.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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