Tropical Depression ONE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012004
1500Z SUN AUG 01 2004
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM
CAPE FEAR TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO
SOUND.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTH
CAROLINA TO CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N  79.2W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N  79.2W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N  79.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 33.0N  78.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 34.1N  77.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 35.1N  76.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 36.5N  74.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 41.0N  66.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 46.0N  56.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.9N  79.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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