ZCZC MIATCDEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON AUG 30 2004 DVORAK T NUMBERS FROM TAFB...SAB...AND AFWA HAVE ALL FALLEN TO 1.0 NOW THAT ALL DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED. THEREFORE...GEORGETTE HAS DEGENERATED INTO A REMNANT LOW WITH AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 25 KT. ALTHOUGH THERE IS STILL THE POSSIBILITY OF INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF CONVECTION...COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES...A STABLE AIR MASS TO THE WEST...AND INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THE CIRCULATION. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 280/9. THE REMNANT LOW WILL CONTINUE MOVING TO THE WEST STEERED BY THE LOW LEVEL FLOW AND COULD MAINTAIN AN IDENTIFIABLE CIRCULATION THROUGH THE NEXT 5 DAYS...AS DISSIPATING EAST PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES OFTEN DO. FORECASTER BERG/LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/1500Z 20.1N 124.9W 25 KT 12HR VT 31/0000Z 20.3N 126.3W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 31/1200Z 20.5N 128.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 01/0000Z 20.7N 130.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 01/1200Z 20.8N 132.8W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 02/1200Z 20.8N 137.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 03/1200Z 20.8N 141.8W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW $$ NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 30-Aug-2004 14:13:44 UTC