Hurricane OLAF

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TROPICAL STORM OLAF INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  15A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM PDT MON OCT 06 2003
 
...OLAF STRENGTHENING AS IT APPROACHES THE MEXICAN COAST...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO
CABO CORRIENTES.
 
AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 104.5 WEST OR 
ABOUT 45 MILES...75 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO.
 
OLAF IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 4 MPH ...6KM/HR...
AND A MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OLAF WILL
BE INLAND OR VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST BY LATE THIS EVENING.
 
OLAF CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED.. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 90 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COASTLINE.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  60 MILES
... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
 
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ALONG WITH LARGE AND BATTERING WAVES...ARE
LIKELY ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA TODAY.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH OLAF. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...18.4 N...104.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  4 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 8 PM PDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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