ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON OCT 06 2003 ...OLAF REORGANIZING AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 104.5 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES...85 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OLAF WILL BE INLAND OR VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST BY LATE THIS EVENING. OLAF IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AGAIN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE AS THE CENTER NEARS THE COASTLINE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES ... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ALONG WITH LARGE AND BATTERING WAVES...ARE LIKELY ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4-8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH OLAF. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...18.3 N...104.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:09 UTC