Hurricane ISABEL

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TROPICAL STORM ISABEL ADVISORY NUMBER  53...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2003

CORRECT TO ADD NEW JERSEY TO TORNADO PARAGRAPH...

...ISABEL WEAKENS MORE AS THE CENTER REACHES NORTHEASTERN WEST
VIRGINIA...
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED FROM CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA SOUTHWWARD...AND FOR
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT SOUTHWARD.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT NORTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE TO
MORICHES INLET NEW YORK...AND FOR CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF SMITH
POINT...THE TIDAL POTOMAC...AND DELAWARE BAY.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 39.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.7 WEST.  THIS POSITION IS NEAR
RIO WEST VIRGINIA...AND ALSO ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTH OF JOHNSTOWN
PENNSYLVANIA.
 
ISABEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH.  A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF ISABEL
ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST VIRGINIA...WESTERN MARYLAND...AND WESTERN
PENNSYLVANIA TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR  50 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS MAINLY IN SQUALLS WELL TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.  FURTHER
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND ISABEL MAY
LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS DURING THAT TIME.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345 MILES MAINLY TO
THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.  SHIPJOHN SHOALS IN DELAWARE BAY
RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 52 MPH WITH A WIND GUST TO 71
MPH.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...MAY STILL
OCCUR ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AREA. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
STILL POSSIBLE IN CHESAPEAKE BAY AND THE TIDAL PORTIONS OF ADJACENT
RIVERS.  STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE POTOMAC RIVER HAS EQUALED OR
EXCEEDED THAT OF THE 1933 HURRICANE IN THE WASHINGTON DC AREA...
AFFECTING PORTIONS OF REAGAN NATIONAL AIRPORT AND THE CITY OF
ALEXANDRIA.  STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE OUTER BANKS SHOULD
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY.
 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH ISABEL.
 
THERE IS A THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES OVER PORTIONS OF MARYLAND...
DELAWARE...CENTRAL AND EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN
NEW YORK...AND WESTERN CONNECTICUT TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...39.2 N... 78.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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