ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM CDT FRI AUG 15 2003 ...ERIKA GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...RACING TOWARD SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM BROWNSVILLE TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA MEXICO NORTHWARD TO THE U.S. BORDER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO PORT O'CONNOR. AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.5 WEST OR ABOUT 310 MILES...495 KM...EAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. ERIKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...ERIKA IS FORECAST TO BE ON THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA EARLY SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND ERIKA COULD REACH HURRICANE STATUS PRIOR TO LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. AN AIR FORCE PLANE JUST REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BE 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE BATTERING WAVES...NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF ERIKA. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST BEGINNING TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 1 PM CDT POSITION...26.0 N... 92.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 PM CDT. FORECASTER AVILA NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:04 UTC