| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Tropical Depression SIX (Text)

ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON JUL 21 2003

...DEPRESSION APPROACHING CENTRAL LESSER ANTILLES...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DOMINICA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. LUCIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE LATER TODAY FOR
MARTINIQUE AND GUADELOUPE AND ADJACENT FRENCH ISLANDS...AND FOR
ANTIGUA...MONTSERRAT...ST KITTS AND NEVIS...AND FOR SABA AND
ST EUSTATIUS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SIX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 
58.8 WEST OR ABOUT 140 MILES...225 KM...EAST OF MARTINIQUE.  THIS
POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 90 MILES...145 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF
BARBADOS.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR...
AND A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL INVESTIGATE THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON TO DETERMINE IF THE DEPRESSION HAS STRENGTHENED
TO A TROPICAL STORM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
 
LARGE WAVES AND ABOVE NORMAL TIDES MAY OCCUR TO THE NORTH OF
THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT PASSES THROUGH THE LESSER
ANTILLES.
 
STORM TOTAL RAINFALLS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION
WITH THIS SYSTEM.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...14.2 N... 58.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 23 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM AST.
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
NNNN