Tropical Storm NICHOLAS
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TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS PROBABILITIES NUMBER 34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST TUE OCT 21 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF NICHOLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST FRI OCT 24 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
21.3N 54.6W 35 X X X 35 26.5N 55.0W X 6 13 2 21
23.5N 55.0W 7 16 1 X 24 BERMUDA X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM WED TO 8AM THU
C FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU
D FROM 8PM THU TO 8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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