Tropical Storm NICHOLAS
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TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST FRI OCT 17 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF NICHOLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST MON OCT 20 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
18.2N 49.3W 44 X X X 44 19.5N 50.5W 17 3 2 2 24
18.8N 49.8W 29 X 1 X 30
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM SAT TO 8AM SUN
C FROM 8AM SUN TO 8PM SUN
D FROM 8PM SUN TO 8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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