Tropical Storm NICHOLAS

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TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI OCT 17 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF NICHOLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  48.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST MON OCT 20 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
16.8N  49.2W      50  X  X  X 50   18.4N  50.6W      13  6  2  2 23
17.6N  49.9W      26  2  X  1 29
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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