Tropical Storm NICHOLAS

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TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU OCT 16 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF NICHOLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  47.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST SUN OCT 19 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
16.4N  48.3W      45  X  X  X 45   18.0N  49.9W      12  7  2  2 23
17.3N  49.1W      25  1  1  1 28
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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