Tropical Storm NICHOLAS

ZCZC MIASPFAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST THU OCT 16 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF NICHOLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  45.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST SUN OCT 19 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
15.3N  47.5W      38  X  X  X 38   17.3N  48.9W       6 11  3  3 23
16.3N  48.1W      22  3  1  1 27
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
C FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
D FROM  2AM SAT TO  2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
NNNN