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Tropical Storm LARRY


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TROPICAL STORM LARRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SUN OCT 05 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF LARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  93.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT WED OCT  8 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
17.0N  93.5W      42  X  X  X 42   MMTX 210N 974W     X  1  2  5  8
16.0N  94.0W      27  1  1  X 29   MMVR 192N 961W     8  4  2  3 17
15.5N  94.5W      17  6  2  1 26   MMFR 185N 926W    99  X  X  X 99
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  1  3  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM MON TO  1PM MON
C FROM  1PM MON TO  1AM TUE
D FROM  1AM TUE TO  1AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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