Tropical Storm LARRY

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TROPICAL STORM LARRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT THU OCT 02 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF LARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  93.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT SUN OCT  5 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
21.0N  93.5W      99  X  X  X 99   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  2  2
21.0N  93.5W      99  X  X  X 99   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  3  3
21.0N  93.5W      99  X  X  X 99   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  3  3
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  2  2   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  4  4
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X  3  3   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  4  4
MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  2  2   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  2  6  8
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  3  7 10   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  2  2
MMTM 222N 979W     X  2  3  7 12   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  1  3  4
MMTX 210N 974W     1  3  5  5 14   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  1  5  6
MMVR 192N 961W     6  4  4  3 17   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  1  5  6
MMFR 185N 926W     9  4  3  2 18   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  2  6  8
MMMD 210N 897W     1  2  3  4 10   GULF 25N 96W       X  2  5  6 13
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM FRI TO  1PM FRI
C FROM  1PM FRI TO  1AM SAT
D FROM  1AM SAT TO  1AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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