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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Hurricane JUAN


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HURRICANE JUAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN SEP 28 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF JUAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 45.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  63.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST WED OCT  1 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
58.0N  60.0W      20  5  X  X 25   HALIFAX NS        99  X  X  X 99
65.0N  55.0W       X 11  X  X 11   SYDNEY NS          4  X  X  X  4
ST JOHN NB        16  X  X  X 16   EDDY POINT NS     11  X  X  X 11
MONCTON NB        50  X  X  X 50   PTX BASQUES NFLD   3  X  X  X  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
C FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
D FROM  8PM TUE TO  8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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