Hurricane JUAN
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HURRICANE JUAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN SEP 28 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF JUAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 45.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST WED OCT 1 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
58.0N 60.0W 20 5 X X 25 HALIFAX NS 99 X X X 99
65.0N 55.0W X 11 X X 11 SYDNEY NS 4 X X X 4
ST JOHN NB 16 X X X 16 EDDY POINT NS 11 X X X 11
MONCTON NB 50 X X X 50 PTX BASQUES NFLD 3 X X X 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM MON TO 8AM TUE
C FROM 8AM TUE TO 8PM TUE
D FROM 8PM TUE TO 8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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