Hurricane JUAN

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HURRICANE JUAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN SEP 28 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF JUAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 41.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  64.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST WED OCT  1 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
53.0N  62.5W      23  X  X  X 23   SABLE ISLAND NS    4  X  X  X  4
EASTPORT ME       11  X  X  X 11   SYDNEY NS         11  X  X  X 11
ST JOHN NB        28  X  X  X 28   EDDY POINT NS     20  X  X  X 20
MONCTON NB        39  X  X  X 39   PTX BASQUES NFLD   9  X  X  X  9
YARMOUTH NS       23  X  X  X 23   BURGEO NFLD        3  X  X  X  3
HALIFAX NS        45  X  X  X 45
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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