Hurricane JUAN

ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE JUAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI SEP 26 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF JUAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  62.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST MON SEP 29 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
36.5N  63.3W      32  1  X  X 33   ST JOHN NB         X  X  6  8 14
39.5N  63.5W       X 18  2  X 20   MONCTON NB         X  X  3 11 14
42.5N  63.5W       X  2 11  4 17   YARMOUTH NS        X  1 10  5 16
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  2  1  3   HALIFAX NS         X  X  7  8 15
PROVIDENCE RI      X  1  3  1  5   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  3 10 13
NANTUCKET MA       X  2  5  1  8   SYDNEY NS          X  X  1 11 12
HYANNIS MA         X  1  5  2  8   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  2 11 13
BOSTON MA          X  1  4  1  6   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X 11 11
PORTLAND ME        X  X  6  3  9   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X 10 10
BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  8  4 12   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  8  8
EASTPORT ME        X  X  8  6 14   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  4  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
C FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
D FROM  2PM SUN TO  2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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