Tropical Storm JUAN

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TROPICAL STORM JUAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU SEP 25 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF JUAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  61.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST SUN SEP 28 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
33.5N  62.5W      30  X  X  1 31   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  7  7
35.0N  63.0W       9  9  2  1 21   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  7  7
37.0N  63.5W       X  8  6  3 17   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  6  6
BERMUDA           21  1  1  X 23   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  5  5
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  2  2   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  8  8
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  1  4  5   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  7  7
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  1  4  5   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  5  5
NANTUCKET MA       X  X  2  5  7   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  3  3
HYANNIS MA         X  X  1  6  7   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  5  5
BOSTON MA          X  X  1  5  6   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  2  2
PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  6  6
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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