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Hurricane ISABEL


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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  47
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  73.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
35.0N  76.6W      36  1  X  X 37   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  1  6  4 11
37.6N  78.5W       4 21  2  X 27   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  3  6  9
41.5N  79.0W       X  1 14  4 19   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  1  4  5
CHARLESTON SC      3  3  X  X  6   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  5  5
MYRTLE BEACH SC   20  2  X  X 22   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  3  3
WILMINGTON NC     34  1  X  X 35   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  3  3
MOREHEAD CITY NC  39  X  X  X 39   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  4  4
CAPE HATTERAS NC  29  2  X  X 31   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  4  4
NORFOLK VA        10 12  1  X 23   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  2  2
OCEAN CITY MD      1  4  8  1 14   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
C FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
D FROM  2PM FRI TO  2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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