Hurricane ISABEL

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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST MON SEP 15 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  70.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST THU SEP 18 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.4N  71.7W      46  X  X  X 46   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  6  9 15
29.8N  72.5W      21  7  X  X 28   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  5 10 15
31.5N  73.7W       1 15  4  1 21   NORFOLK VA         X  X  1 12 13
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  1  3  4   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X 10 10
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  2  6  8   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  7  7
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  4  7 11   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  4  4
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  5  9 14   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
C FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
D FROM  8PM WED TO  8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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