Hurricane ISABEL

ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  39
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON SEP 15 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  70.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST THU SEP 18 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
27.5N  71.6W      46  X  X  X 46   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  2 14 16
29.0N  72.3W      22  5  X  X 27   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  1 15 16
30.8N  73.2W       1 15  4  1 21   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X 14 14
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  4  4   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X 11 11
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  1  7  8   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  8  8
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  1 11 12   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  4  4
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  2 12 14   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
C FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
D FROM  2PM WED TO  2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
NNNN