Hurricane ISABEL

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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SUN SEP 14 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  65.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST WED SEP 17 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
24.5N  68.5W      58  X  X  X 58   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  2  2
25.5N  69.5W      33  5  X  X 38   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  2  2
26.5N  70.5W       3 22  2  1 28   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  2  2
MBJT 215N 712W     1  1  1  1  4   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  2  2
MYMM 224N 730W     X  1  2  1  4   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  2  2
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  3  4  7   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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