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Hurricane ISABEL


ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI SEP 12 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  57.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST MON SEP 15 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
22.5N  60.5W      57  X  X  X 57   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  6  6
23.0N  62.5W      12 24  X  X 36   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X  4  4
23.5N  64.5W       X 18  8  1 27   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  3  3
TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X  2  2   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X  2  2
MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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