Hurricane ISABEL

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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU SEP 11 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  55.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST SUN SEP 14 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
21.9N  58.6W      56  X  X  X 56   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  1  2  3
22.4N  60.5W      15 21  X  X 36   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X  3  3
22.9N  62.3W       X 20  6  1 27   ST CROIX VI        X  X  X  2  2
TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  1  2  3   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  1  2  3
TISX 177N 648W     X  X  X  2  2   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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