Hurricane ISABEL
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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST WED SEP 10 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST SAT SEP 13 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
TAPA 171N 618W X X X 2 2 ST CROIX VI X X X 2 2
TKPK 173N 627W X X X 3 3 ST THOMAS VI X X X 3 3
TNCM 181N 631W X X 1 4 5 SAN JUAN PR X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI
C FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI
D FROM 8PM FRI TO 8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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