Tropical Storm HENRI

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION HENRI PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN SEP 07 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT WED SEP 10 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
32.8N  77.0W      27  1  X  X 28   WILMINGTON NC     14  2  1  X 17
33.7N  75.5W      10  8  1  1 20   MOREHEAD CITY NC  13  4  1  1 19
34.5N  74.0W       1 11  4  2 18   CAPE HATTERAS NC   6  9  2  1 18
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  2  2   NORFOLK VA         2  7  2  2 13
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  2  2   OCEAN CITY MD      X  6  3  3 12
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  1  1  2   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  3  3  4 10
MYNN 251N 775W     X  1  1  2  4   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  1  3  4  8
MYGF 266N 787W     1  2  2  1  6   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  1  3  5  9
BERMUDA            X  X  X  2  2   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  3  5  8
MIAMI FL           X  1  X  1  2   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  3  5  8
W PALM BEACH FL    X  1  1  1  3   HYANNIS MA         X  X  3  5  8
FT PIERCE FL       X  2  1  1  4   BOSTON MA          X  X  2  5  7
COCOA BEACH FL     X  2  X  1  3   PORTLAND ME        X  X  1  4  5
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  1  X  1  2   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  4  4
SAVANNAH GA        X  1  X  1  2   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  3  3
CHARLESTON SC      7  1  X  1  9   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  2  2
MYRTLE BEACH SC   13  1  1  X 15   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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