Tropical Depression TWELVE
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT THU SEP 04 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM CDT SUN SEP 7 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
28.5N 85.0W 32 X X X 32 NORFOLK VA X X X 4 4
28.9N 83.6W 17 2 2 1 22 OCEAN CITY MD X X X 2 2
29.5N 82.5W 6 7 3 2 18 KEY WEST FL X 1 1 4 6
MUHA 230N 824W X X 1 2 3 MARCO ISLAND FL X 2 4 4 10
MUAN 219N 850W X X 1 1 2 FT MYERS FL X 4 4 4 12
MYNN 251N 775W X X X 2 2 VENICE FL 2 6 4 2 14
MYGF 266N 787W X X 1 4 5 TAMPA FL 4 7 3 2 16
MARATHON FL X X 2 3 5 CEDAR KEY FL 11 5 2 1 19
MIAMI FL X X 2 5 7 ST MARKS FL 17 2 2 1 22
W PALM BEACH FL X 1 2 5 8 APALACHICOLA FL 24 1 1 X 26
FT PIERCE FL X 1 4 5 10 PANAMA CITY FL 21 2 X 1 24
COCOA BEACH FL X 3 4 5 12 PENSACOLA FL 8 3 1 1 13
DAYTONA BEACH FL X 6 4 4 14 MOBILE AL 1 3 2 1 7
JACKSONVILLE FL 1 8 4 3 16 GULFPORT MS X 2 1 2 5
SAVANNAH GA X 4 5 5 14 BURAS LA X 2 1 1 4
CHARLESTON SC X 1 5 6 12 NEW ORLEANS LA X X 1 1 2
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 3 7 10 GULF 29N 85W 30 X 1 X 31
WILMINGTON NC X X 1 7 8 GULF 29N 87W 34 X X X 34
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 1 6 7 GULF 28N 89W 16 X X 1 17
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 5 5
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7AM FRI TO 7PM FRI
C FROM 7PM FRI TO 7AM SAT
D FROM 7AM SAT TO 7AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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