Tropical Depression TWELVE
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT THU SEP 04 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM CDT SUN SEP 7 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
28.5N 85.3W 45 X X X 45 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 4 4
28.8N 84.1W 24 2 X 1 27 NORFOLK VA X X X 4 4
29.2N 82.5W 5 8 3 2 18 OCEAN CITY MD X X X 2 2
MUCF 221N 805W X X 1 2 3 KEY WEST FL X 2 4 4 10
MUSN 216N 826W X X 1 2 3 MARCO ISLAND FL X 6 4 3 13
MUHA 230N 824W X 1 2 3 6 FT MYERS FL 1 7 4 3 15
MUAN 219N 850W X X 2 2 4 VENICE FL 4 8 3 2 17
MYAK 241N 776W X X 1 2 3 TAMPA FL 7 7 3 1 18
MYNN 251N 775W X X 1 3 4 CEDAR KEY FL 10 6 2 2 20
MYGF 266N 787W X X 3 5 8 ST MARKS FL 12 5 2 1 20
MARATHON FL X 2 4 3 9 APALACHICOLA FL 24 1 1 X 26
MIAMI FL X 2 4 4 10 PANAMA CITY FL 22 2 X X 24
W PALM BEACH FL X 2 5 4 11 PENSACOLA FL 12 4 1 X 17
FT PIERCE FL X 3 6 4 13 MOBILE AL 4 5 2 X 11
COCOA BEACH FL X 5 5 4 14 GULFPORT MS 3 4 1 1 9
DAYTONA BEACH FL X 6 5 4 15 BURAS LA 4 3 1 1 9
JACKSONVILLE FL X 6 6 3 15 NEW ORLEANS LA 1 2 1 X 4
SAVANNAH GA X 2 6 5 13 GULF 29N 85W 34 X X X 34
CHARLESTON SC X X 4 7 11 GULF 29N 87W 49 X X X 49
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 2 7 9 GULF 28N 89W 69 X X X 69
WILMINGTON NC X X 1 6 7 GULF 28N 91W X 1 1 X 2
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 6 6
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1AM FRI TO 1PM FRI
C FROM 1PM FRI TO 1AM SAT
D FROM 1AM SAT TO 1AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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