Hurricane FABIAN
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HURRICANE FABIAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT AUG 30 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST TUE SEP 2 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
18.0N 54.2W 46 X X X 46 TNCM 181N 631W X X 2 9 11
18.5N 56.5W 7 25 X X 32 TISX 177N 648W X X X 5 5
19.5N 59.0W X 9 18 1 28 TIST 183N 650W X X X 6 6
TFFF 146N 610W X X 1 2 3 TJPS 180N 666W X X X 2 2
TDPR 153N 614W X X 1 3 4 TJSJ 184N 661W X X X 3 3
SVBS 157N 636W X X X 2 2 ST CROIX VI X X X 5 5
TFFR 163N 615W X X 2 6 8 ST THOMAS VI X X X 6 6
TAPA 171N 618W X X 4 7 11 SAN JUAN PR X X X 3 3
TKPK 173N 627W X X 2 7 9 PONCE PR X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON
C FROM 2AM MON TO 2PM MON
D FROM 2PM MON TO 2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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