Tropical Storm ERIKA
ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT FRI AUG 15 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ERIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT MON AUG 18 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
26.0N 101.0W 39 X X X 39 CORPUSCHRISTI TX 29 X X X 29
26.0N 104.0W 11 19 X X 30 BROWNSVILLE TX 80 X X X 80
99 X X X 99 GULF 28N 95W 3 X X X 3
MMSO 238N 982W 1 1 X X 2 GULF 27N 96W 85 X X X 85
PORT O CONNOR TX 3 X X X 3 GULF 25N 96W 39 X X X 39
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM SAT TO 7AM SUN
C FROM 7AM SUN TO 7PM SUN
D FROM 7PM SUN TO 7PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN