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Hurricane PATRICIA (Text)


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TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162003
1500Z FRI OCT 24 2003
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 113.1W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 113.1W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 113.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.2N 113.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.2N 114.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.4N 114.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 19.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 20.0N 116.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 20.5N 117.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 113.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:29 UTC