Tropical Storm OLAF
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TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152003
0900Z SUN OCT 05 2003
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 103.8W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 103.8W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 103.5W
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 17.5N 104.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 18.2N 105.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 18.9N 105.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.8N 106.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.0N 107.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 22.0N 108.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 23.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 103.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
FORECASTER JARVINEN
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