Tropical Storm NORA

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TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP142003
2100Z FRI OCT 03 2003
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 109.9W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 109.9W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 109.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 16.9N 110.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.1N 111.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 19.3N 112.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.4N 113.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 21.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 21.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 21.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 109.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
FORECASTER KNABB/FRANKLIN
 
 
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