Hurricane IGNACIO

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TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092003
1500Z TUE AUG 26 2003
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM LORETO TO LA PAZ...AND FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO SANTA FE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 111.1W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  25SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 111.1W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 110.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 25.2N 111.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 25.6N 111.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 26.0N 112.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 26.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 27.5N 114.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N 111.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH 
 
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