Hurricane IGNACIO

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TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092003
0900Z TUE AUG 26 2003
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM SAN EVARISTO TO LA PAZ. THE HURRICANE WARNING WILL
LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.
 
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS...
THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO...
AND THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF LA PAZ AND FROM
LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 110.7W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  25SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 110.7W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 110.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 24.7N 111.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 25.1N 111.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 25.5N 111.8W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 26.0N 112.2W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 26.5N 113.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 27.0N 113.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 28.0N 114.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 110.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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